The Future Of Travel: When Will We Take Flight Again?

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on travel, with global coronavirus case numbers reaching an all-time high in January 2021. While vaccination roll-outs are now underway worldwide, the recovery of leisure travel is still uncertain. Travel experts predict a slow return to normalcy, with the speed depending on various factors such as location, destination, and the ability to control the virus and its variants.

Despite the challenges, there is optimism for the future of travel. Short-haul flights and domestic travel are expected to recover quicker, with a potential revival by the fall of 2021. Long-haul travel, on the other hand, may take longer, with a predicted return to pre-COVID-19 levels by 2022.

So, when are we going to travel? The answer may be sooner than we think. While there are still risks and uncertainties, travel restrictions are gradually easing, and people are eager to explore the world again. As we navigate the ongoing pandemic, it's essential to stay informed about travel advisories and regulations and make travel decisions accordingly.

The revival of short-haul flying

Short-haul flying in a post-pandemic world

Short-haul flying refers to flights that are typically under 3 hours and are often domestic, although they can also be international. These flights are usually operated by narrow-body aircraft carriers such as the Boeing 717 and Airbus A319. During the pandemic, short-haul flying was impacted as travel restrictions and safety concerns curtailed many people's travel plans. However, as the world moves towards a post-pandemic future, there is a growing interest in reviving short-haul travel.

Factors contributing to the revival

One of the key factors contributing to the revival of short-haul flying is the convenience and affordability it offers. Short-haul flights are generally more economical for airlines and passengers, with many short-haul airlines operating on a low-cost model. Additionally, short-haul flights are safer as they travel at lower altitudes and are operated by expertly trained pilots and cabin crew. This makes short-haul flights an attractive option for travellers, especially those who are cost-conscious or hesitant to travel long distances due to safety concerns.

Optimism from industry experts

Industry experts have expressed optimism about the revival of short-haul flying. Chris Goater, head of corporate communications at the International Air Transport Association (IATA), predicts that short-haul flying will recover faster than long-haul. He attributes this to the greater pressure governments will face to relax quarantine restrictions for shorter flights, especially within the European Union. Bryce Conway, a travel rewards expert, shares this sentiment, stating that short-haul flights will "bounce back quickly" and that most will resume by the fall of 2021.

Environmental considerations

While the revival of short-haul flying is promising, it is important to consider the environmental impact of aviation. Commercial airlines are increasingly focusing on sustainable aviation fuel and more efficient aircraft to meet emissions reduction targets. Electric aviation, though still in its infancy, may also play a role in making short-haul flying more sustainable.

The future of short-haul flying

The impact on business travel

The COVID-19 pandemic brought business travel to a standstill, but it is now experiencing a resurgence. By the end of 2022, corporate travel in the United States is expected to reach between 55% and 80% of 2019 levels. This recovery is driven by several factors, including improved health and safety conditions, the need to stay competitive, and business growth.

Firstly, the pandemic's impact on daily life has lessened due to increased vaccination rates and reduced restrictions for international travel. This has created a safer environment for business travel to resume.

Secondly, companies have realized that in-person events and conferences are crucial for staying competitive. If a company chooses not to attend or exhibit at an industry event, its competitors will fill the void and gain an advantage. Conference organizers have also designed formats that maximize the return on in-person interactions, making physical presence even more valuable.

Thirdly, businesses have recognized that travel is essential for growth. While remote work can provide cost savings and access to a wider talent pool, in-person gatherings are necessary to optimize team performance and generate new ideas. Business travel allows companies to connect with prospective customers, build relationships with existing clients, and foster collaboration within their teams. Face-to-face meetings are particularly important when closing deals and making crucial decisions, with research showing that the rate of converting prospects into customers nearly doubles when a face-to-face meeting is included.

Business travel also offers employees opportunities for personal and professional growth. They can gain exposure to industry trends, interact with leaders and innovators, and develop their skills through training and development trips. Additionally, team-building retreats can strengthen bonds and improve teamwork, resulting in enhanced organizational success.

However, challenges to the growth of business travel remain. Inflation and economic issues could slow down its recovery, and the emergence of new COVID-19 variants could once again disrupt travel plans. Organizations should maintain a posture of readiness and be prepared to adapt to virtual or hybrid meeting formats if necessary.

The safety of hotels and Airbnbs

When it comes to choosing between a hotel and an Airbnb, safety is a key consideration. While both options generally have safety measures in place, there are some differences to be aware of. Here are some factors to consider when deciding between a hotel and an Airbnb to ensure you have a safe and enjoyable stay:

Security and Privacy

Hotels typically have more visible security measures in place, such as security guards and a 24/7 front desk staff. This can provide an added layer of protection and assistance during your stay. On the other hand, Airbnbs may not have the same level of on-site security, but they do offer secure communication and payment platforms to protect your personal and financial information. Airbnb also conducts background checks on hosts and runs them through regulatory, terrorist, and sanctions watchlists.

Safety Features

Hotels often have standard safety features, such as smoke detectors, carbon monoxide detectors, and multiple exits. These features are usually consistently present across different hotel rooms and are regularly maintained. While Airbnbs are encouraged to have similar safety features, there may be variations between properties, and the hosts are responsible for maintaining them. Airbnb provides hosts with resources and guidelines to ensure safety, but it is always a good idea to do your own safety check upon arrival.

Flexibility and Support

Hotels typically have a more established infrastructure for handling guest concerns and providing assistance. If you encounter any issues during your stay, there is usually a front desk or guest services team readily available to help. Airbnbs may not have the same level of on-site support, but they often provide a 24-hour safety line that you can access through their app. Additionally, Airbnb offers protection and assistance through their AirCover program, which includes reservation screening, guest identity verification, and damage protection.

Health and Cleanliness

Both hotels and Airbnbs have implemented enhanced cleaning protocols, especially in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Hotels typically have professional cleaning staff and standardized cleaning procedures, while Airbnbs may vary depending on the host. It is essential to read reviews and check for any health and safety guidelines provided by the property before booking.

Location and Environment

When considering safety, it is crucial to research the neighbourhood and surrounding area of your accommodation. This is important for both hotels and Airbnbs, as the local environment can impact your overall safety. Look for information about crime rates, cultural considerations, and any potential risks associated with the location. This due diligence can help you make an informed decision and ensure you feel secure during your stay.

In conclusion, both hotels and Airbnbs can offer a safe and enjoyable travel experience. It is important to weigh your personal preferences and priorities when making a decision. By researching and following safety guidelines, you can enhance your safety and have a positive travel experience, regardless of your accommodation choice.

The future of cruising

The cruise industry is back in business and looking towards the future after a turbulent few years. The pandemic, which brought cruising to a standstill, has also presented an opportunity for innovation and adaptation.

Health and Safety

Technology

The pandemic has accelerated the adoption of technology onboard cruise ships, enhancing convenience and reducing contact. Smartphones and wearable devices now function as boarding passes and keycards, with some even allowing guests to track their companions. In-cabin voice-activated artificial intelligence answers queries without the need for face-to-face interaction. Cruise line mobile apps enable passengers to navigate the ship, book services, and access information without touching surfaces. The traditional in-person muster drill has been replaced by a virtual process, and QR codes have replaced printed menus and paper daily planners.

Sustainability

The cruise industry is facing increasing scrutiny and demands for more sustainable practices. Several cruise lines have committed to reaching carbon neutrality by 2050, with some pursuing alternative energy sources such as electric batteries, biofuels, and hydrogen fuel cells. There is a growing trend towards smaller, more intimate ships, which not only address concerns about overtourism but also provide access to exotic, less-touristed destinations.

Destinations and Itineraries

Cruise lines are witnessing a surge in demand for exotic destinations and once-in-a-lifetime experiences. Antarctica, for example, is a highly sought-after location. Boutique-style experiences on small ships, with strict conditions of entry and tailored itineraries, are gaining popularity. Private islands owned by major cruise lines are also becoming a key feature, allowing passengers to enjoy beach fun while maintaining health protocols. Cruise operators based in the region they serve, such as Adventure Canada and Kontiki Expeditions, are attracting travellers seeking a deeper connection with local cultures and communities.

Cruising Post-Pandemic

The best time to travel

There are many factors to consider when deciding on the best time to travel. While some people are limited to travelling during school holidays or summer vacations, others have more flexibility and can take advantage of off-peak times. Here are some things to consider when planning your next trip:

Weather

The weather plays a significant role in determining the best time to travel. If you're looking for sunny skies and warm temperatures, summer might be the ideal season for your trip. However, keep in mind that popular destinations tend to be overly crowded and expensive during this time. Alternatively, if you prefer milder temperatures and fewer crowds, autumn could be a better option. September, in particular, offers beautiful weather in many places, with mild temperatures and less expensive prices.

Cost

Travelling during the off-season can often be more affordable, as prices tend to drop when demand is lower. This is especially true for destinations that typically experience high tourist traffic during peak seasons. However, keep in mind that airfare and accommodation prices can vary depending on the time of year and your chosen destination. It's always a good idea to research and compare prices before booking your trip.

Safety

Safety is a crucial consideration when planning travel. While it's impossible to predict every potential risk, being aware of current events and travel advisories is essential. Research your destination thoroughly and stay informed about any political, social, or health-related issues that may impact your safety. Additionally, consider purchasing travel insurance to protect yourself financially in case of unexpected cancellations or emergencies.

Time Availability

Another factor to consider when determining the best time to travel is your availability. If you have a flexible schedule, you can take advantage of last-minute deals and avoid the crowds by travelling during off-peak seasons. Long weekends and bank holidays can also provide opportunities to travel without taking extensive time off work or school. Planning your trips around these extended weekends can give you more time to explore and relax without using up all your vacation days.

In conclusion, there is no single best time to travel that applies to everyone. The ideal travel time depends on your personal preferences, financial situation, and time availability. By considering factors such as weather, cost, safety, and your schedule, you can make an informed decision about when to plan your next adventure. Remember, sometimes the best time to travel is simply when you feel ready to explore and experience new places.

Frequently asked questions